Transplantology · Published 2026-05-06 · DOI 10.3390/transplantology7020011
<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Renal scintigraphy with 99mTc-MAG3 is a non-invasive tool for assessing early post-kidney-transplant function and detecting complications. While its utility in predicting delayed graft function (DGF) is established, evidence regarding its capacity to predict long-term graft survival remains limited. This study aimed to evaluate whether early post-transplant scintigraphy provides independent prognostic information for long-term graft survival. <b>Methods:</b> We conducted a retrospective cohort study of kidney transplantations performed at a single tertiary-care academic institution (2015–2019). Patients undergoing simultaneous multi-organ transplantation or experiencing complications precluding early scintigraphy were excluded. All included patients underwent 99mTc-MAG3 scintigraphy within 48 h post-transplantation. Renogram curves were categorized using the Heaf and Iversen classification (Grades 1–4). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to assess death-censored graft survival. The study followed STROBE reporting guidelines. <b>Results:</b> Among the 317 included patients, renogram curves were distributed as follows: Grade 1 (<i>n</i> = 31, 9.8%), Grade 2 (<i>n</i> = 69, 21.8%), Grade 3 (<i>n</i> = 92, 29.0%), and Grade 4 (<i>n</i> = 125, 39.4%). The overall DGF incidence was 25.9%, with rates progressively increasing across the grades: 0% (Grade 1), 4.3% (Grade 2), 16.3% (Grade 3), and 51.2% (Grade 4) (<i>p</i> < 0.001). On multivariate analysis adjusting for recipient BMI, donation technique, Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI), and DGF, grafts with reduced uptake (Grade 4) demonstrated a significantly higher risk of graft loss compared to those with normal uptake (Grades 1–3 combined) (HR: 3.15; 95% CI: 1.34–7.40; <i>p</i> = 0.008). The mean follow-up was 45.6 months (IQR: 34.5–60). <b>Conclusions:</b> 99mTc-MAG3 scintigraphy performed within 48 h of kidney transplantation provides independent prognostic information for long-term graft survival. The Grade 4 renogram pattern identifies a high-risk subgroup with over threefold increased risk of subsequent graft loss. These findings support the integration of early scintigraphy into post-transplant risk stratification protocols, though prospective validation is warranted.
Abstract from DOAJ. Public domain (CC0 1.0).
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